CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (CVILLE RIGHT NOW) – With Election Day just around the corner, the team at Sabato’s Crystal Ball has released their final predictions for the 2024 races, highlighting just how uncertain things still are. According to their analysis, several key battleground states are still too close to call, and the overall outcome remains up in the air.
In the presidential race, Donald Trump is seen as having a good shot at winning Arizona, while Kamala Harris is surprisingly competitive in Georgia and North Carolina—states that many had expected to lean Republican. The Crystal Ball team acknowledges that polling has been unclear, and while they give slight leads in some states, they stress that no outcome is guaranteed.
In the Midwest, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—often referred to as the “Blue Wall” states—are leaning toward Harris, though Pennsylvania stands out as a major wild card. With most voters expected to cast their ballots on Election Day, the state could swing in either direction.
Over in the Senate, Republicans are favored to gain control, thanks in part to likely flips in Montana and West Virginia. However, a few GOP incumbents, such as Ted Cruz in Texas, are facing tougher-than-expected races. If their predictions hold, Republicans could end up with 52 seats in the Senate, securing the majority.
Meanwhile, the race for the House remains a toss-up. Both parties are neck and neck, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball suggests we might not know the final outcome for weeks, especially in states like California where vote counting can take a long time.
For more details visit Sabato’s Crystal Ball.
