BOSTON, MA (CVILLE RIGHT NOW) – In a new poll Emerson College in Boston is doing in swing states, their survey of Virginia voters finds 45% support former President Donald Trump and 43% support President Biden in a 2024 election. Eleven percent are undecided. When undecided voters are pushed to choose the candidate they lean toward, Trump and Biden’s overall support increases to 50% respectively.
“In a state Biden won by 10 points in 2020, the president is now essentially tied with Trump,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Independent voters break for Trump, 46% to 38%, a group that broke for Biden in 2020 by double digits.”
In a matchup between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, 47% support Trump, 45% Harris, and 9% are undecided. With third-party candidates on the ballot, Trump’s lead increases to five points, 43% to 38%, while 8% support Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 2% Cornel West, and 2% Jill Stein; 8% are undecided.
A poll earlier this week from VCU shows Trump ahead of Biden by 3 points. However, just as the Emerson poll’s error margin is 3-percent, the 5-percent margin in the VCU poll indicates the race is a statistical toss-up.
Click here to see the way the poll was conducted, and for the all the poll data.
