News

Odds of a Triple Crown winner slim

Odds of a Triple Crown winner slim

CALIFORNIA CHROME:Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner California Chrome pauses as he is hot walked by exercise rider Willie Delgado after jogging at Belmont Park, Monday, June 2, in Elmont, N.Y. California Chrome will attempt to become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978 when he races in the 146th running of the Belmont Stakes on Saturday. Photo: Associated Press/Julie Jacobson

AURORA, Colo. (AP) — Here’s a message to horse lovers and dreamers out there: This will not happen to you. Well, almost certainly not.

For all the buzz California Chrome’s feel-good run at the Triple Crown is generating for horse racing, his too-good-to-be-true story has virtually no chance of repeating itself, according to the numbers.

Byron Rogers, whose business is scientifically analyzing genetic makeup of racehorses, puts the odds at 50,000-to-1 against a horse with the strength and stamina of a California Chrome ever showing up again among the 21,000 or so thoroughbred foals born each year.

It’s the sort of horse that shows up maybe once every three years, but even then doesn’t always find his way into the spotlight because success requires a magic mix of the right owner, trainer and opportunity.

Latest Stories

in Music

Joan Jett to open for The Who’s 50th anniversary tour

Fresh
Joan Jett attends a screening of Lifetime's "Big Driver" on Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014, in New York.

Joan Jett & The Blackhearts will open for The Who when they embark on the next leg of their 50th anniversary tour in 2015.

in Music

Noel Gallagher embarrassed daughter in front of Harry Styles

Fresh
Noel Gallagher and Anais Gallagher at Arthur - UK film premiere held at the O2 Arena - Arrivals.
London, England - 19.04.11

Noel Gallagher left his teenage daughter mortified by embarrassing her in front of One Direction heart-throb Harry Styles.

in Music

Gene Simmons credits mother for drug-free life

Gene Simmons speaks onstage during the "4th and Loud" portion of the AMC 2014 Summer TCA on Friday, July 11, 2014, in Beverly Hills, Calif.

The Kiss frontman insists he has never been drunk or gotten high because he always worried about his mom's reaction.